Assess litigation risks and prospects of success using data

Law firms assess litigation risks and prospects of success

Future prospectAI Act: no extra obligationsForecasting from figuresLaw & tax

Fits: Leaders & strategy · Legal & compliance

A second, data-based view alongside the lawyer’s assessment: How did comparable proceedings end, and how long did they take? This helps with settlement negotiations, cost risk and deciding whether to take on a matter. In Germany this is still at the trial stage: there are providers and pilot projects, but only a small share of judgments is published, and reliable forecasts are most likely to succeed with many similar proceedings.

Is this for you?

  • You conduct many similar proceedings, e.g. air passenger rights, serial employment law cases or mass claims, and have your closed case files with outcomes in digital form.
  • As a pilot firm, you want to check early whether data-based forecasts help you with settlements, cost risk or litigation funding.
  • You are prepared to measure forecasts against your own closed cases before they feed into a client meeting.
First step today

Use the template below to research which litigation forecasting offerings exist for German law and what they are based on. At the same time, note for which of your areas of law you have at least a few dozen closed, comparable proceedings: only there is a pilot worthwhile.

How to go about it

  1. Define the area of law and forecasting question for the pilot
  2. Record closed case files and case law
  3. Have forecasts produced in the pilot
  4. Test blind against closed cases and your own assessment
  5. Use as a second view in strategy and settlement
  6. Update after every case and decide at the end of the pilot

Templates to copy

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The complete guide

  • 6 steps explaining exactly what to do
  • 3 proven templates to copy into your own AI
  • Safe use: data, checking, deciding, informing
  • Pitfalls, effort and how to recognise success

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Same approach, other use cases

22 more use cases follow the pattern “Forecasting from figures”.

RS-10 · Legal status 08.10.2026